Nitori Holdings Co., Ltd. (NCLTY) — Home Furnishings & Appliances. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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NCLTYpeers & supply-chain relationships

NCLTY fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 907 · 3-mo avg 163.5K

Nitori Holdings Co., Ltd. (NCLTY)

NCLTYNitori Holdings Co., Ltd.loading…
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QTick signal
+2net
1 bull / 0 bear factors · balanced
Bull 4 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 0/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$9.80
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$11–12
center $11.56 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
—
not on file
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.33× the norm · 88% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (1/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.04×
52-week range$6.90 – $11.56
Below high since 2023-40.9% · $16.68 high
Risk / reward1.28 : 1
Plan stop$8.51
Max pain—
RSI 1450.5 fires under 35 · fires near $8.47
Forensic flags0 clean
Earnings multiple19.5× trailing · forward not on file
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Free cash flow yield930.3% · of market value

Last session traded lighter than its own normal, price down 0.9%. Over the last 20 sessions, 52% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 5 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
50.5
fires under 35 · fires near $8.47
vs 50-day
●
$9.23
above the line · fires near $9.31
Bollinger
●
$9.23
no lower pierce · fires near $9.09
VWAP 20
✓
$10.27
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$9.80
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-0.09
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.04×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
—
not on file
ATRStatic
$0.55
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
—
not on file
Next dividend
1.02% yld
no ex-date on file