Vail Resorts, Inc. (MTN) — Resorts & Casinos. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 1.37M · 3-mo avg 698.6K

Vail Resorts, Inc. (MTN)

MTNVail Resorts, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
0net
1 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 3 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · Distress—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 30/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$135.43
basis · pivot low + s1 + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$139–141
center $139.74 · basis · call wall + daily pivot + round · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$9.76
7.2% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.08× the norm · 85% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.54×
52-week range$118.51 – $163.34
Below high since 2015-64.4% · $382.72 high
Risk / reward0.37 : 1
Plan stop$126.32
Max pain$135.00 options cluster
RSI 1443.3 fires under 35 · fires near $128.57
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple22.1× fwd · 29.8× trailing
P/E vs its own past73rd pctile · 29.2× median
Free cash flow yield6.6% · of market value

Last session traded heavier than its own normal, price down 1.2%. Over the last 20 sessions, 52% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
43.3
fires under 35 · fires near $128.57
vs 50-day
✓
$144.28
below the line
Bollinger
●
$131.06
no lower pierce · fires near $129.94
VWAP 20
✓
$137.79
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$135.43
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$125.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-25
MACD
Context✓
+0.33
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
1.54×
heavier than its own normal
Short int.Static
18.8%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$4.56
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-09-28
in 1 session
Next dividend
6.52% yld
no ex-date on file