McGrath RentCorp (MGRC) — Rental & Leasing Services. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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MGRC fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 192.9K · 3-mo avg 169.7K

McGrath RentCorp (MGRC)

MGRCMcGrath RentCorploading…
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after-hours · no prints

QTick signal
-2net
1 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 1 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · Grey—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 1/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$111.40
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-24
Target exit zone
$115–116
center $115.89 · basis · round + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-24
Implied move · 1 wk
±$51.97
45.9% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
Low
0.77× the norm · 61% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.30×
52-week range$94.99 – $125.83
Below high since 2015-14.4% · $130.86 high
Risk / reward0.45 : 1
Plan stop$107.31
Max pain$110.00 options cluster
RSI 1451.0 fires under 35 · fires near $108.56
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple16.2× fwd · 18.2× trailing
P/E vs its own past49th pctile · 18.0× median
Free cash flow yield2.5% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 1.1%. Over the last 20 sessions, 41% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
51.0
fires under 35 · fires near $108.56
vs 50-day
✓
$115.61
below the line
Bollinger
●
$108.97
no lower pierce · fires near $108.56
VWAP 20
●
$111.41
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $111.39
Entry level
●
$111.40
level below · fires near $112.38
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+0.38
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
1.30×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
2.1%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.95
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-22
in 20 sessions
Next dividend
USD 0.49
ex-date 2026-10-16
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