Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) — $15.78 −3.78%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

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LUNRpeers & supply-chain relationships

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Aug 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 8.83M · Avg 13.29M
LUNRIntuitive Machines, Inc.$15.78-3.78%

WAIT.

The entry isn't here — the timing triggers haven't fired.

2 of 6 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 4. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
+1net
3 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 4 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
2 of 6 aligned — not yet
Waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · GreyPCE sensitivity · not on fileOKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$15.70
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$20.12
center $20.12 · basis · call wall + sma 50 · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$3.51
22.3% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 22% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Pullback risk
In line
~95% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.2× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 22% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Volume vs 20-day avg0.66× · 8.83M vs 13.29M avg
52-week range$7.78 – $46.75
Below high since 2021-89.1% · $145.12 high
Risk / reward1 : 1.9
Plan stop$13.43
Max pain$15.00 options cluster
RSI 1450.0 fires under 35 · fires below the slider range
Forensic flags2 review
What-if price
$15.78
$12.62 · -20.0%-20.0%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+22.3% · $19.29+22.3%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers2 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
50.0
fires under 35 · fires below the slider range
vs 50-day
$20.29
below the line
Bollinger
$11.37
no lower pierce · fires below the slider range
VWAP 20
$13.88
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $13.87
Entry level
$15.70
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$13.00
OI strike below · fires near $13.06
MACD
+0.83
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.66×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
28.8%
28.8% of float short — crowded
ATRStatic
$1.14
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
13 Aug 2026 · before the bell
bmo · in 2 days
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file
prices 15-min delayed