Louisiana-Pacific Corporation (LPX) — Building Products & Equipment. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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LPXpeers & supply-chain relationships

LPX fair-value estimate

LPX earnings history

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Sep 18, 2026 · 2:51 PM ETVol 1.15M · 3-mo avg 1.16M

Louisiana-Pacific Corporation (LPX)

LPXLouisiana-Pacific Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
-4net
0 bull / 3 bear factors · leaning
Bull 0 pts·Bear 4 pts30d
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Market contextSector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafePCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 64/100 · as of 2026-09-18
Smart entry
$65.49
basis · low 52w + s1 · as of 2026-09-17
Target exit zone
$71–72
center $71.94 · basis · sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-17
Implied move · 1 wk
±$6.73
10.3% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
Low
0.77× the norm · 61% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.06×
52-week range$64.49 – $100.34
Below high since 2015-46.4% · $122.87 high
Risk / reward1.45 : 1
Plan stop$61.03
Max pain$70.00 options cluster
RSI 1436.9 fires under 35 · fires near $64.44
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple85.2× trailing · forward not on file
P/E vs its own past91st pctile · 16.7× median
Free cash flow yield2.0% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 0.8%. Over the last 20 sessions, 72% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

Bearish tape — sell
RSI 14
36.9
fires under 35 · fires near $64.44
vs 50-day
$71.70
below the line
Bollinger
$63.50
no lower pierce · fires near $63.01
VWAP 20
$68.85
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$65.49
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$65.00
2026-09-18 expiry · chain of 2026-09-16
MACD
Context
-0.17
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
1.06×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
12.0%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.23
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
2026-11-04
in 33 sessions
Next dividend
1.84% yld
no ex-date on file