Louisiana-Pacific Corporation (LPX) — Building Products & Equipment. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 9, 2026 · 2:01 PM ETVol 297.4K · 3-mo avg 1.18M

Louisiana-Pacific Corporation (LPX)

LPXLouisiana-Pacific Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
0net
2 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 3 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 9
$74.98
near a recent low, a support level and the 200-day average · Nov 6
$84–86
near a heavy call-option level and a round-number price · midpoint $85.00 · Nov 6
±$6.27
±8.0% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
Elevated
85% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.1× the usual rate
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
Trading volume70% below normal0.30× its 20-day average
Past year's range$62.18 – $100.34lowest to highest price
From its peak38.7% belowpeak $122.87, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.66 to 1$0.66 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$68.46the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$70.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)58.5fires under 35 · fires near $66.66
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit101.9× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 100%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 18.1×
Cash it generates1.7%of its market value, per year

Trading lighter than its own normal, price up 4.1%. Over the last 20 sessions, 39% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

0 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
58.5
fires under 35 · fires near $66.66
vs 50-day
●
$68.85
above the line · fires near $69.31
Bollinger
●
$65.53
no lower pierce · fires near $64.60
VWAP 20
●
$72.73
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $72.64
Entry level
●
$74.98
level below · fires near $75.68
Put wall
●
$70.00
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-09
MACD
Context✓
+0.43
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.30×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
14.3%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$3.26
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-16
in 66 sessions
Next dividend
USD 0.30
ex-date 2026-11-20