Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) — Aerospace & Defense. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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KRMN fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 2:01 PM ETVol 1.27M · 3-mo avg 3.23M

Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN)

KRMNKarman Holdings Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+2net
3 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 5 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—Inflation-report days · not on file—Sharp-drop check · not on file
$45.67
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 9 · price is already 3.5% below it
$117–119
near the 52-week high · midpoint $118.38 · Nov 9
±$5.08
±11.5% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
In line
95% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (3/6 bottoming checks met)
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
Trading volume52% below normal0.48× its 20-day average
Past year's range$29.34 – $118.38lowest to highest price
From its peaknot on file
Gain vs. risk7.79 to 1$7.79 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$36.34the setup is broken under this price
Momentum (RSI)not on file
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit157.4× last 12 months
Cash it generates-0.8%it used more cash than it made

Trading lighter than its own normal, price down 4.0%. Over the last 20 sessions, 36% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14Static
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not on file
vs 50-day
●
—
not on file
Bollinger
●
—
not on file
VWAP 20
●
—
not on file
Entry level
✓
$45.67
below the model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACDStatic
—
not on file
RVolStatic
0.48×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
14.7%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
—
not on file
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-03-25
in 92 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file