Hexcel Corporation (HXL) — Aerospace & Defense. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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HXL fair-value estimate

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Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Sep 18, 2026 · 10:27 AM ETVol 301.8K · 3-mo avg 953.5K

Hexcel Corporation (HXL)

HXLHexcel Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
+2net
2 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 5 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market contextSector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafePCE inflation days · not on fileRiskFalling knife · 92/100 · was 52 on Sep 13 · as of 2026-09-181/6Bottom watch · 1 of 6 confirmations
Smart entry
$87.41
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-17
Target exit zone
$89–90
center $89.36 · basis · daily pivot + round + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-17
Implied move · 1 wk
±$7.15
8.2% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 12% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Pullback risk
In line
0.97× the norm · 77% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: falling knife
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 12% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.42×
52-week range$60.26 – $111.74
Below high since 2015-21.2% · $111.74 high
Risk / reward0.29 : 1
Plan stop$80.69
Max pain$90.00 options cluster
RSI 1431.3 washed out
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple28.0× fwd · 45.8× trailing
P/E vs its own past73rd pctile · 51.1× median
Free cash flow yield2.4% · of market value

Trading 1.42× its typical day, too early in the session to call the pace, price down 1.2%. Over the last 20 sessions, 68% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

6 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
31.3
washed out
vs 50-day
$99.02
below the line
Bollinger
$88.82
lower-band pierce
VWAP 20
$92.36
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$87.41
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$90.00
2026-09-18 expiry · chain of 2026-09-16
MACD
Context
-0.12
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
1.42×
15% of the session so far — too early to call the pace
Short int.Static
4.8%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.36
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
2026-10-21
in 23 sessions
Next dividend
0.83% yld
no ex-date on file