Herc Holdings Inc. (HRI) — Rental & Leasing Services. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 591.1K · 3-mo avg 602.4K

Herc Holdings Inc. (HRI)

HRIHerc Holdings Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
0net
1 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 3 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—PCE inflation days · not on fileRiskFalling knife · 85/100 · was 68 on Sep 21 · as of 2026-09-253/6Bottom watch · 3 of 6 confirmations
Smart entry
$134.68
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$138–142
center $140.26 · basis · daily pivot + round + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
—
not on file
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 11% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Pullback risk
Elevated
1.12× the norm · 89% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: falling knife
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 11% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.66×
52-week range$88.45 – $188.35
Below high since 2016-45.2% · $246.88 high
Risk / reward0.31 : 1
Plan stop$119.65
Max pain—
RSI 1440.9 fires under 35 · fires near $130.38
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple79.6× trailing · forward not on file
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Price / booknot on file

Last session traded lighter than its own normal, price up 3.4%. Over the last 20 sessions, 71% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
40.9
fires under 35 · fires near $130.38
vs 50-day
✓
$152.23
below the line
Bollinger
●
$131.40
no lower pierce · fires near $130.29
VWAP 20
✓
$140.14
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$134.68
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-0.31
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.66×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
8.4%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$7.52
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-27
in 22 sessions
Next dividend
2.07% yld
no ex-date on file