Granite Construction Incorporated (GVA) — Engineering & Construction. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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GVA fair-value estimate

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Qtick
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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 481.1K · 3-mo avg 750.6K

Granite Construction Incorporated (GVA)

GVAGranite Construction Incorporatedloading…
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QTick signal
-4net
1 bull / 3 bear factors · leaning
Bull 2 pts·Bear 6 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 9/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$114.50
basis · pivot low + s1 + put wall · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$120–122
center $120.90 · basis · round + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$5.90
5.1% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
Low
0.77× the norm · 61% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.90×
52-week range$97.26 – $162.08
Below high since 2015-29.0% · $162.08 high
Risk / reward0.76 : 1
Plan stop$107.41
Max pain$100.00 options cluster
RSI 1444.1 fires under 35 · fires near $111.44
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple14.3× fwd · 40.5× trailing
P/E vs its own past25th pctile · 33.4× median
Free cash flow yield6.5% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 3.7%. Over the last 20 sessions, 56% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

Bearish tape — sell
RSI 14
●
44.1
fires under 35 · fires near $111.44
vs 50-day
✓
$120.97
below the line
Bollinger
●
$111.07
no lower pierce · fires near $110.17
VWAP 20
✓
$116.33
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$114.50
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$115.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-25
MACD
Context●
-0.04
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.90×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
8.9%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$3.55
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-05
in 29 sessions
Next dividend
USD 0.13
ex-date 2026-09-30
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