Graco Inc. (GGG) — Specialty Industrial Machinery. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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GGGpeers & supply-chain relationships

GGG fair-value estimate

GGG earnings history

Qtick
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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 9, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 1.17M · 3-mo avg 2.00M

Graco Inc. (GGG)

GGGGraco Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
-2net
1 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 1 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 11/100 · Nov 9
$67.52
near the 52-week low, a recent low and a support level · Nov 6
$75–76
near a round-number price, the 50-day average and the 50-day average trade price · midpoint $75.38 · Nov 6
±$0.31
±0.4% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
Elevated
82% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
Trading volume56% below normal0.44× its 20-day average
Past year's range$65.96 – $95.69lowest to highest price
From its peak29.1% belowpeak $95.69, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.73 to 1$0.73 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$62.17the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$50.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)42.2fires under 35 · fires near $67.49
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit20.2× next year22.5× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 1%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 27.2×
Cash it generates5.8%of its market value, per year

Last session traded lighter than its own normal, price up 2.9%. Over the last 20 sessions, 43% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 5 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
42.2
fires under 35 · fires near $67.49
vs 50-day
✓
$75.35
below the line
Bollinger
●
$60.46
no lower pierce · fires near $58.32
VWAP 20
✓
$72.01
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
●
$67.52
level below · fires near $68.17
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-0.52
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.44×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
3.3%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.67
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-01-27
in 53 sessions · session not on file
Next dividend
1.69% yld
no ex-date on file
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