The Gap, Inc. (GAP) — Apparel Retail. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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GAPpeers & supply-chain relationships

GAP fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 6.06M · 3-mo avg 6.68M

The Gap, Inc. (GAP)

GAPThe Gap, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+1net
3 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 6 pts·Bear 5 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · Grey—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 54/100 · Nov 6
$21.37
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 6
$22.07
near a resistance level, a round-number price and the 50-day average · midpoint $22.07 · Nov 6
±$1.56
±7.3% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
In line
85% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.1× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (0/6 bottoming checks met)
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
Trading volume17% above normal1.17× its 20-day average
Past year's range$18.11 – $29.36lowest to highest price
From its peak51.4% belowpeak $44.23, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.30 to 1$0.30 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$19.50the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$23.50price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)43.7fires under 35 · fires near $19.42
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit8.2× next year6.5× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 0%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 11.6×
Cash it generates10.9%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 4.1%. Over the last 20 sessions, 64% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

4 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
43.7
fires under 35 · fires near $19.42
vs 50-day
✓
$22.23
below the line
Bollinger
●
$21.42
no lower pierce · fires near $21.39
VWAP 20
✓
$22.66
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$21.37
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$22.50
2026-11-06 expiry · chain of 2026-11-04
MACD
Context●
-0.11
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
1.17×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
12.7%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.89
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-19
in 9 sessions
Next dividend
3.26% yld
no ex-date on file