FTAI Aviation Ltd. (FTAI) — Aerospace & Defense. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 1.50M · 3-mo avg 1.44M

FTAI Aviation Ltd. (FTAI)

FTAIFTAI Aviation Ltd.loading…
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QTick signal
-3net
0 bull / 2 bear factors · leaning
Bull 0 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 40/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$174.18
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$200–204
center $202.08 · basis · bb upper + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
—
not on file
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.23× the norm · 81% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.06×
52-week range$149.50 – $323.51
Below high since 2015-45.9% · $323.51 high
Risk / reward1.50 : 1
Plan stop$156.99
Max pain—
RSI 1438.2 fires under 35 · fires near $168.40
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple15.9× fwd · 41.7× trailing
P/E vs its own past51st pctile · 48.3× median
Price / booknot on file

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 0.3%. Over the last 20 sessions, 59% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

Bearish tape — sell
RSI 14
●
38.2
fires under 35 · fires near $168.40
vs 50-day
✓
$202.15
below the line
Bollinger
●
$172.53
no lower pierce · fires near $171.73
VWAP 20
✓
$186.82
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$174.18
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+1.07
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
1.06×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
6.6%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$8.60
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-26
in 22 sessions
Next dividend
1.14% yld
no ex-date on file