Fervo Energy Company (FRVO) — $23.92 −7.47%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

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FRVOpeers & supply-chain relationships

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Aug 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 1.73M · Avg 3.83M
FRVOFervo Energy Company$23.92-7.47%

WAIT.

The business passes the quality checks — the entry price doesn't.

2 of 5 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 3. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
0net
0 bull / 0 bear factors · balanced
Bull 0 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
2 of 5 aligned — closing in
Quality is there; waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafePCE sensitivity · not on fileKnife guard · not on file
Smart entry
$23.80
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$28–29
center $28.73 · basis · bb upper + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
not on file
Chart pattern
not on file
Pullback risk
In line
~79% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.0× base rate
Chart pattern
not on file
Volume vs 20-day avg0.45× · 1.73M vs 3.83M avg
52-week range$16.89 – $42.65
Below high sincenot on file
Risk / reward1 : 1.3
Plan stop$19.97
Max pain
RSI 1447.1 fires under 35 · fires below the slider range
Forensic flags0 clean
What-if price
$23.92
$18.13 · -24.2%-24.2%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+21.3% · $29.02+21.3%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers2 of 5 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
47.1
fires under 35 · fires below the slider range
vs 50-day
$29.03
below the line
Bollinger
$19.11
no lower pierce · fires near $18.24
VWAP 20
$23.23
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $23.20
Entry level
$23.80
within 1% of model level
Put wall
not on file
MACD
+0.54
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.45×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
not on file
ATRStatic
$2.55
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
12 Aug 2026 · before the bell
bmo · in 1 days
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file
prices 15-min delayed