Elbit Systems Ltd. (ESLT) — Aerospace & Defense. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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ESLT fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 1:15 PM ETVol 27.6K · 3-mo avg 88.8K

Elbit Systems Ltd. (ESLT)

ESLTElbit Systems Ltd.loading…
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QTick signal
+3net
1 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 5 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on fileCautionInflation-report days · ~28% bigger swingsOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 32/100 · Nov 10
$718.32
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 9
$775–792
near a round-number price and the 200-day average · midpoint $783.44 · Nov 9
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
Elevated
82% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
Trading volume49% below normal0.51× its 20-day average
Past year's range$453.00 – $1,016.06lowest to highest price
From its peak28.9% belowpeak $1,016.06, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.52 to 1$0.52 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$651.88the setup is broken under this price
Momentum (RSI)48.9fires under 35 · fires near $647.66
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit39.7× next year55.6× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 78%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 38.1×

Trading lighter than its own normal, price up 2.3%. Over the last 20 sessions, 40% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

0 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
48.9
fires under 35 · fires near $647.66
vs 50-day
●
$721.48
above the line · fires near $727.83
Bollinger
●
$659.07
no lower pierce · fires near $643.44
VWAP 20
●
$733.47
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $733.46
Entry level
●
$718.32
level below · fires near $725.02
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-5.66
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.51×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
0.8%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$33.22
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-17
in 5 sessions
Next dividend
0.54% yld
no ex-date on file