Elbit Systems Ltd. (ESLT) — Aerospace & Defense. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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ESLT fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 70.8K · 3-mo avg 79.4K

Elbit Systems Ltd. (ESLT)

ESLTElbit Systems Ltd.loading…
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QTick signal
+5net
2 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 5 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on fileCautionPCE inflation days · ~22% bigger swingsOKNeutral tape · 0/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$731.33
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$759–766
center $762.37 · basis · bb upper + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
—
not on file
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
Low
0.71× the norm · 47% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.02×
52-week range$453.00 – $1,016.06
Below high since 2015-27.7% · $1,016.06 high
Risk / reward0.76 : 1
Plan stop$698.81
Max pain—
RSI 1447.0 fires under 35 · fires near $697.97
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple40.4× fwd · 55.7× trailing
P/E vs its own past90th pctile · 37.8× median
Price / booknot on file

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 0.6%. Over the last 20 sessions, 47% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 5 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
47.0
fires under 35 · fires near $697.97
vs 50-day
✓
$762.56
below the line
Bollinger
●
$691.84
no lower pierce · fires near $685.63
VWAP 20
●
$726.71
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $726.65
Entry level
✓
$731.33
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+5.79
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
1.02×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
0.9%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$14.93
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-24
in 43 sessions
Next dividend
0.54% yld
no ex-date on file