Equinor ASA (EQNR) — Integrated Oil & Gas. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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EQNR fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 4.78M · 3-mo avg 3.34M

Equinor ASA (EQNR)

EQNREquinor ASAloading…
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QTick signal
0net
1 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 2 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · GreyOKPCE inflation days · ~8% smaller swingsOKNeutral tape · 2/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$41.98
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$45.84
center $45.84 · basis · bb upper + high 52w · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
—
not on file
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.33× the norm · 88% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (1/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.41×
52-week range$22.26 – $45.84
Below high since 2015-8.0% · $45.84 high
Risk / reward1.35 : 1
Plan stop$39.49
Max pain—
RSI 1447.4 fires under 35 · fires near $38.33
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple10.7× fwd · 11.9× trailing
P/E vs its own past94th pctile · 7.7× median
Free cash flow yield5.7% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 2.3%. Over the last 20 sessions, 58% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 5 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
47.4
fires under 35 · fires near $38.33
vs 50-day
●
$41.48
above the line · fires near $41.88
Bollinger
●
$41.12
no lower pierce · fires near $40.82
VWAP 20
✓
$43.62
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$41.98
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-0.29
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
1.41×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
2.6%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.24
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-28
in 24 sessions
Next dividend
3.70% yld
no ex-date on file