Embraer S.A. (EMBJ) — Aerospace & Defense. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 1.47M · 3-mo avg 1.44M

Embraer S.A. (EMBJ)

EMBJEmbraer S.A.loading…
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QTick signal
+3net
3 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 6 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 6
$73.71
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 6
$80–81
near the 52-week high and a round-number price · midpoint $80.29 · Nov 6
±$5.56
±7.5% up or down, priced by the options market
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
In line
88% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.3× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (1/6 bottoming checks met)
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
Trading volume4% below normal0.96× its 20-day average
Past year's range$53.56 – $80.75lowest to highest price
From its peak8.3% belowpeak $80.75, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.96 to 1$0.96 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$67.64the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$75.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)50.9fires under 35 · fires near $64.54
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit18.6× next year30.0× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 23%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 34.2×
Cash it generates2.9%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 0.1%. Over the last 20 sessions, 44% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
50.9
fires under 35 · fires near $64.54
vs 50-day
✓
$73.84
at the line
Bollinger
●
$68.98
no lower pierce · fires near $68.20
VWAP 20
●
$72.91
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $72.90
Entry level
✓
$73.71
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$50.00
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-06
MACD
Context✓
+0.37
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.96×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
1.0%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$3.03
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-10
in 2 sessions
Next dividend
1.28% yld
no ex-date on file