Embraer S.A. (EMBJ) — Aerospace & Defense. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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EMBJ fair-value estimate

EMBJ earnings history

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Bid × AskUpdated Sep 18, 2026 · 11:09 AM ETVol 130.3K · 3-mo avg 1.14M

Embraer S.A. (EMBJ)

EMBJEmbraer S.A.loading…
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QTick signal
+5net
4 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 6 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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Market contextSector read · not on fileBalance sheet · not on filePCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 0/100 · as of 2026-09-18
Smart entry
$74.18
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-17
Target exit zone
$80–81
center $80.46 · basis · high 52w + round · as of 2026-09-17
Implied move · 1 wk
±$4.43
6.0% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.02× the norm · 68% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.75×
52-week range$53.56 – $80.75
Below high since 2015-7.7% · $80.75 high
Risk / reward1.40 : 1
Plan stop$69.68
Max pain$75.00 options cluster
RSI 1455.5 fires under 35 · fires near $66.86
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple18.5× fwd · 29.8× trailing
P/E vs its own past97th pctile · 33.6× median
Free cash flow yield3.0% · of market value

Trading in line with its own normal, price down 1.0%. Over the last 20 sessions, 43% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
55.5
fires under 35 · fires near $66.86
vs 50-day
$71.35
above the line · fires near $72.03
Bollinger
$71.59
no lower pierce · fires near $71.12
VWAP 20
$74.33
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$74.18
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$75.00
2026-09-18 expiry · chain of 2026-09-16
MACD
Context
-0.25
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.75×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
1.2%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.14
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
2026-11-10
in 37 sessions
Next dividend
USD 0.24
ex-date 2026-09-23