e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. (ELF) — Household & Personal Products. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

How we compute this

ELFpeers & supply-chain relationships

ELF fair-value estimate

ELF earnings history

Qtick
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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 1.15M · 3-mo avg 2.31M

e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. (ELF)

ELFe.l.f. Beauty, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+3net
3 bull / 3 bear factors · leaning
Bull 7 pts·Bear 4 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · Grey—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 1/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$99.01
basis · s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$147–149
center $147.75 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$7.05
7.1% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.07× the norm · 84% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (3/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.76×
52-week range$48.82 – $147.75
Below high since 2016-55.1% · $221.83 high
Risk / reward5.29 : 1
Plan stop$90.39
Max pain$95.00 options cluster
RSI 1452.5 fires under 35 · fires near $85.18
Forensic flags3 review
Earnings multiple102.4× trailing · forward not on file
P/E vs its own past98th pctile · 71.7× median
Free cash flow yield3.2% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 1.1%. Over the last 20 sessions, 55% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
52.5
fires under 35 · fires near $85.18
vs 50-day
●
$94.43
above the line · fires near $95.26
Bollinger
●
$90.75
no lower pierce · fires near $88.97
VWAP 20
✓
$101.14
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$99.01
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$90.00
2026-09-25 expiry · chain of 2026-09-21
MACD
Context●
-0.83
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.76×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
19.2%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$4.31
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-04
in 29 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file