The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. (EL) — Household & Personal Products. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

How we compute this

ELpeers & supply-chain relationships

EL fair-value estimate

EL earnings history

Qtick
Sign in
Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 2.80M · 3-mo avg 2.99M

The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. (EL)

ELThe Estée Lauder Companies Inc.loading…
loading…
QTick signal
+5net
4 bull / 2 bear factors · leaning
Bull 7 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
loading…
Market context—Sector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · Grey—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 20/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$94.00
basis · pivot low + s1 + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$120–121
center $120.38 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$6.34
6.7% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.02× the norm · 67% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.92×
52-week range$66.22 – $121.64
Below high since 2015-74.6% · $371.88 high
Risk / reward3.92 : 1
Plan stop$87.87
Max pain$97.00 options cluster
RSI 1446.4 fires under 35 · fires near $85.65
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple188.9× trailing · forward not on file
P/E vs its own past100th pctile · 56.4× median
Free cash flow yield3.9% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 0.9%. Over the last 20 sessions, 69% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
46.4
fires under 35 · fires near $85.65
vs 50-day
●
$92.48
above the line · fires near $93.37
Bollinger
●
$92.24
no lower pierce · fires near $91.63
VWAP 20
✓
$98.59
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$94.00
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$89.00
2026-09-25 expiry · chain of 2026-09-23
MACD
Context●
-0.78
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.92×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
2.9%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$3.07
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-02
in 26 sessions
Next dividend
1.48% yld
no ex-date on file