Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) — Integrated Oil & Gas. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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ECpeers & supply-chain relationships

EC fair-value estimate

EC earnings history

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 1:00 PM ETVol 754.7K · 3-mo avg 1.63M

Ecopetrol S.A. (EC)

ECEcopetrol S.A.loading…
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QTick signal
-1net
1 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 2 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 54/100 · Nov 10
$15.53
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 9 · price is already 1.5% below it
$17.07
near a round-number price, the 50-day average and the 50-day average trade price · midpoint $17.07 · Nov 9
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 10% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
In line
82% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (0/6 bottoming checks met)
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 10% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
Trading volume23% below normal0.77× its 20-day average
Past year's range$9.20 – $18.38lowest to highest price
From its peak46.2% belowpeak $29.04, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk1.14 to 1$1.14 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$14.18the setup is broken under this price
Momentum (RSI)35.9fires under 35 · fires near $15.16
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit7.4× next year8.1× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 83%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 4.9×
Cash it generates39,892.2%of its market value, per year

Trading in line with its own normal, price down 2.0%. Over the last 20 sessions, 64% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

4 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
35.9
fires under 35 · fires near $15.16
vs 50-day
✓
$17.09
below the line
Bollinger
✓
$15.41
lower-band pierce
VWAP 20
✓
$16.95
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$15.53
below the model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-0.23
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.77×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
0.2%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.68
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-10
reported today · reaction session open
Next dividend
4.25% yld
no ex-date on file