Ducommun Incorporated (DCO) — Aerospace & Defense. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 245.3K · 3-mo avg 203.8K

Ducommun Incorporated (DCO)

DCODucommun Incorporatedloading…
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QTick signal
+2net
3 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 5 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 50/100 · Nov 6
$134.57
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 6
$152–157
near a round-number price and the 200-day average · midpoint $154.36 · Nov 6
±$11.01
±8.1% up or down, priced by the options market
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 19% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
In line
95% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (0/6 bottoming checks met)
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 19% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
Trading volume34% above normal1.34× its 20-day average
Past year's range$84.76 – $210.39lowest to highest price
From its peak35.7% belowpeak $210.39, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.86 to 1$0.86 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$112.93the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$180.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)29.6oversold
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit25.3× next year40.5× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 84%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 27.2×
Cash it generates-2.4%it used more cash than it made

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 2.1%. Over the last 20 sessions, 57% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

5 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
✓
29.6
oversold
vs 50-day
✓
$166.74
below the line
Bollinger
✓
$141.58
lower-band pierce
VWAP 20
✓
$159.35
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$134.57
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$80.00
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-06
MACD
Context●
-2.90
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
1.34×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
6.4%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$11.02
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-25
in 74 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file