Cogent Communications Holdings, Inc. (CCOI) — $10.30 +3.83%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

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CCOIpeers & supply-chain relationships

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Aug 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 2.53M · Avg 1.33M
CCOICogent Communications Holdings, Inc.$10.30+3.83%Pre-market$10.56+2.52%

WAIT.

A falling knife — never catch it mid-drop.

The stock is still dropping hard on heavy volume with no support underneath. 3 of 6 entry triggers may be firing, but a live slide overrides them — that is exactly the setup this check exists for. It does not call the bottom; it says the drop is not finished.

QTick signal
-2net
1 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 3 pts·Bear 5 pts30d
3 of 6 aligned — closing in
A falling knife — the guard overrides the entry triggers.
Market contextSector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · DistressPCE sensitivity · not on fileRiskFalling-knife phase · 79/100 · was 0 on Aug 60/6Bottom watch · 0 of 6 confirmations
Smart entry
$10.13
basis · low 52w + s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$13–14
center $13.58 · basis · sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$0.01
0.1% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
Elevated
~95% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.2× base rate
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg1.90× · 2.53M vs 1.33M avg
52-week range$9.00 – $45.69
Below high since 2015-88.9% · $92.66 high
Risk / reward1 : 1.8
Plan stop$8.24
Max pain$70.00 far from the price — likely a stale options snapshot
RSI 1435.2 fires under 35 · fires near $10.27
Forensic flags2 review
What-if price
$10.30
$9.03 · -12.4%-12.4%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+0.1% · $10.31+0.1%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
35.2
fires under 35 · fires near $10.27
vs 50-day
$13.71
below the line
Bollinger
$10.27
no lower pierce · fires near $10.26
VWAP 20
$11.86
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$10.13
level below · fires near $10.22
Put wall
$40.00
below max put OI strike
MACD
-0.16
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
1.90×
elevated versus recent average
Short int.Static
19.4%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.10
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
5 Nov 2026 · before the bell
bmo · in 85 days
Next dividend
0.78% yld
no ex-date on file
prices 15-min delayed