Avis Budget Group, Inc. (CAR) — Rental & Leasing Services. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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CAR fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 264.2K · 3-mo avg 413.4K

Avis Budget Group, Inc. (CAR)

CARAvis Budget Group, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
-9net
0 bull / 5 bear factors · moderate
Bull 0 pts·Bear 9 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · Distress—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 10
$124.20
near a support level · Nov 9
$846–849
near the 52-week high · midpoint $847.70 · Nov 9
±$0.04
±0.0% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
In line
95% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (1/6 bottoming checks met)
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
Trading volume46% below normal0.54× its 20-day average
Past year's range$85.96 – $847.70lowest to highest price
From its peak85.4% belowpeak $847.70, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk50.71 to 1$50.71 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$109.93the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$106.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)63.9fires under 35 · fires below the slider range
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit30.9× next yearloss over the last 12 months
Cash it generates-273.0%it used more cash than it made

Last session traded lighter than its own normal, price down 2.8%. Over the last 20 sessions, 44% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

Drawdown risk — high
RSI 14
●
63.9
fires under 35 · fires below the slider range
vs 50-day
●
$113.49
above the line · fires near $114.27
Bollinger
●
$92.01
no lower pierce · fires near $89.64
VWAP 20
●
$109.96
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $109.91
Entry level
✓
$124.20
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+3.02
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.54×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
31.3%
31.3% of float short — crowded
ATRStatic
$6.31
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-18
in 67 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file
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