CAE Inc. (CAE) — Aerospace & Defense. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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CAEpeers & supply-chain relationships

CAE fair-value estimate

CAE earnings history

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 619.7K · 3-mo avg 757.2K

CAE Inc. (CAE)

CAECAE Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+3net
1 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 5 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 1/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$24.74
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$25.11
center $25.11 · basis · daily pivot + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
—
not on file
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
Low
0.77× the norm · 61% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.62×
52-week range$22.76 – $34.24
Below high since 2015-27.9% · $34.46 high
Risk / reward0.19 : 1
Plan stop$23.54
Max pain—
RSI 1452.9 fires under 35 · fires near $22.48
Forensic flags0 clean
Earnings multiple23.7× fwd · 39.5× trailing
P/E vs its own past51st pctile · 36.4× median
Free cash flow yield5.4% · of market value

Last session traded lighter than its own normal, price up 1.0%. Over the last 20 sessions, 50% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 5 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
52.9
fires under 35 · fires near $22.48
vs 50-day
✓
$25.18
below the line
Bollinger
●
$23.44
no lower pierce · fires near $23.35
VWAP 20
●
$24.13
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $24.11
Entry level
✓
$24.74
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+0.15
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.62×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
—
not on file
ATRStatic
$0.60
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-10
in 32 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file