BWX Technologies, Inc. (BWXT) — Aerospace & Defense. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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BWXT fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 1.02M · 3-mo avg 1.01M

BWX Technologies, Inc. (BWXT)

BWXTBWX Technologies, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+3net
3 bull / 2 bear factors · leaning
Bull 6 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 10/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$137.78
basis · low 52w + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$159–161
center $159.71 · basis · sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$8.56
6.2% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.04× the norm · 69% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.95×
52-week range$138.47 – $241.82
Below high since 2015-42.7% · $241.82 high
Risk / reward2.33 : 1
Plan stop$129.36
Max pain$160.00 options cluster
RSI 1429.7 oversold
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple29.5× fwd · 40.1× trailing
P/E vs its own past71st pctile · 33.0× median
Free cash flow yield2.1% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 0.2%. Over the last 20 sessions, 64% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

5 of 6 aligned — STRIKE
RSI 14
✓
29.7
oversold
vs 50-day
✓
$160.08
below the line
Bollinger
●
$136.75
no lower pierce · fires near $136.17
VWAP 20
✓
$150.46
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$137.78
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$150.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-21
MACD
Context✓
+0.29
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.95×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
3.3%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$4.21
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
Next earnings
2026-11-02
in 27 sessions
Next dividend
0.77% yld
no ex-date on file