Peabody Energy Corporation (BTU) — Thermal Coal Mining. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:01 PM ETVol 3.87M · 3-mo avg 2.43M

Peabody Energy Corporation (BTU)

BTUPeabody Energy Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
-3net
0 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 0 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—Inflation-report days · not on fileRiskFalling sharply · sharp-drop risk 100/100 · was 64 on Nov 2 · Nov 60/6Bottom watch · 0 of 6 confirmations
$15.95
near the 52-week low and a support level · Nov 6
$27–28
near the top of its usual range and the 200-day average · midpoint $27.36 · Nov 6
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
Elevated
95% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
Trading volume35% above normal1.35× its 20-day average
Past year's range$15.70 – $41.14lowest to highest price
From its peak66.8% belowpeak $48.24, highest since 2017
Gain vs. risk4.28 to 1$4.28 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$13.39the setup is broken under this price
Momentum (RSI)17.0oversold
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit5.7× next year
Price vs. its own pastusual P/E 4.4×median of the last 5 years

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 0.1%. Over the last 20 sessions, 80% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

5 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
✓
17.0
oversold
vs 50-day
✓
$24.83
below the line
Bollinger
✓
$16.76
lower-band pierce
VWAP 20
✓
$20.93
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$15.95
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-0.67
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
1.35×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
10.4%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.29
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-04
in 60 sessions
Next dividend
1.87% yld
no ex-date on file