Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. (ARLP) — Thermal Coal Mining. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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ARLPpeers & supply-chain relationships

ARLP fair-value estimate

ARLP earnings history

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Sep 17, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 235.8K · 3-mo avg 293.2K

Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. (ARLP)

ARLPAlliance Resource Partners, L.P.loading…
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QTick signal
+3net
2 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 3 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market contextSector read · not on fileBalance sheet · not on filePCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 32/100 · as of 2026-09-17
Smart entry
$26.03
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-17
Target exit zone
$28.08
center $28.08 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-09-17
Implied move · 1 wk
±$1.66
6.4% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
Low
0.73× the norm · 58% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.10×
52-week range$23.00 – $29.45
Below high since 2015-41.1% · $44.42 high
Risk / reward1.86 : 1
Plan stop$25.13
Max pain$25.00 options cluster
RSI 1452.3 fires under 35 · fires near $24.75
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple9.0× fwd · 12.6× trailing
P/E vs its own past95th pctile · 9.3× median
Free cash flow yield11.3% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 1.2%. Over the last 20 sessions, 38% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
52.3
fires under 35 · fires near $24.75
vs 50-day
$25.39
above the line · fires near $25.62
Bollinger
$25.88
no lower pierce · fires near $25.80
VWAP 20
$26.36
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$26.03
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$22.50
2026-09-18 expiry · chain of 2026-09-16
MACD
Context
-0.12
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
1.10×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
1.5%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.45
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
2026-10-26
in 27 sessions
Next dividend
9.17% yld
no ex-date on file