Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. (ARLP) — Thermal Coal Mining. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 332.0K · 3-mo avg 296.5K

Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. (ARLP)

ARLPAlliance Resource Partners, L.P.loading…
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QTick signal
+6net
3 bull / 0 bear factors · moderate
Bull 6 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 33/100 · Nov 6
$24.27
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 6
$25.03
near a round-number price, the 50-day average and the 50-day average trade price · midpoint $25.03 · Nov 6
±$1.07
±4.4% up or down, priced by the options market
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 3% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
Low
58% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 0.7× the usual rate
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 3% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
Trading volume3% above normal1.03× its 20-day average
Past year's range$23.01 – $29.45lowest to highest price
From its peak45.1% belowpeak $44.42, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.47 to 1$0.47 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$23.03the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$25.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)41.5fires under 35 · fires near $23.42
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit8.0× next year10.2× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 63%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 9.4×
Cash it generates12.1%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 1.4%. Over the last 20 sessions, 53% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

4 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
41.5
fires under 35 · fires near $23.42
vs 50-day
✓
$25.06
below the line
Bollinger
●
$23.83
no lower pierce · fires near $23.62
VWAP 20
✓
$25.13
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$24.27
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$25.00
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-06
MACD
Context●
-0.15
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
1.03×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
1.8%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.56
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-01
in 57 sessions
Next dividend
9.84% yld
no ex-date on file