AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) — Aerospace & Defense. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 1:31 PM ETVol 570.9K · 3-mo avg 1.61M

AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV)

AVAVAeroVironment, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
-4net
2 bull / 3 bear factors · leaning
Bull 3 pts·Bear 7 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 45/100 · Nov 9
$120.98
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 9
$135–139
near the top of its usual range, the 50-day average and the 50-day average trade price · midpoint $137.02 · Nov 9
±$13.46
±11.1% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
In line
95% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
Trading volume18% above normal1.18× its 20-day average
Past year's range$113.24 – $408.25lowest to highest price
From its peak69.6% belowpeak $417.86, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.82 to 1$0.82 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$102.78the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$127.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)50.2fires under 35 · fires near $97.72
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit27.6× next year
Price vs. its own pastusual P/E 107.3×median of the last 5 years
Cash it generates-2.7%it used more cash than it made

Last session traded in line with its own normal. Over the last 20 sessions, 57% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

Drawdown risk — high
RSI 14
●
50.2
fires under 35 · fires near $97.72
vs 50-day
✓
$137.12
below the line
Bollinger
●
$107.82
no lower pierce · fires near $105.32
VWAP 20
●
$120.51
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $120.36
Entry level
✓
$120.98
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-0.99
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
1.18×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
13.2%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$9.10
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-12-02
in 15 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file