Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. (ASO) — Specialty Retail. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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ASOpeers & supply-chain relationships

ASO fair-value estimate

ASO earnings history

Qtick
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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 1:32 PM ETVol 501.8K · 3-mo avg 1.73M

Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. (ASO)

ASOAcademy Sports and Outdoors, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+7net
4 bull / 1 bear factors · moderate
Bull 8 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · Grey—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 9
$70.03
near a support level · Nov 9
—
at new highs, nothing above to aim for
±$4.93
±7.0% up or down, priced by the options market
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
In line
96% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
Trading volume147% above normal2.47× its 20-day average
Past year's range$41.29 – $70.11lowest to highest price
From its peak6.0% belowpeak $75.73, highest since 2020
Plan fails below$63.16the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$49.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)78.7overbought
Accounting warning signs3worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit9.9× next year11.8× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 100%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 7.7×
Cash it generates4.9%of its market value, per year

Last session traded heavier than its own normal. Over the last 20 sessions, 33% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
78.7
overbought
vs 50-day
●
$53.95
above the line · fires near $54.11
Bollinger
●
$52.84
no lower pierce · fires below the slider range
VWAP 20
●
$61.85
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $61.75
Entry level
✓
$70.03
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+0.59
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
2.47×
heavier than its own normal
Short int.Static
15.3%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.71
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-12-08
in 19 sessions
Next dividend
0.86% yld
no ex-date on file