Applied Digital Corporation (APLD) — IT Services & Consulting. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 34.31M · 3-mo avg 21.28M

Applied Digital Corporation (APLD)

APLDApplied Digital Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
+4net
2 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 5 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—Inflation-report days · not on fileRiskFalling sharply · sharp-drop risk 78/100 · was 35 on Nov 3 · Nov 61/6Bottom watch · 1 of 6 confirmations
$15.47
near the 52-week low and a support level · Nov 6
$23.02
near the top of its usual range and the 50-day average · midpoint $23.02 · Nov 6
±$2.62
±16.8% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
Elevated
95% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
Trading volume21% above normal1.21× its 20-day average
Past year's range$13.12 – $50.73lowest to highest price
From its peak69.3% belowpeak $50.72, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk2.03 to 1$2.03 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$11.87the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$15.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)36.8fires under 35 · fires near $15.04
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profitno profit to compare
Cash it generates-17.0%it used more cash than it made

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 9.7%. Over the last 20 sessions, 59% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

4 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
36.8
fires under 35 · fires near $15.04
vs 50-day
✓
$22.92
below the line
Bollinger
●
$14.50
no lower pierce · fires near $14.19
VWAP 20
✓
$18.57
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$15.47
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$18.00
2026-11-06 expiry · chain of 2026-11-04
MACD
Context●
-0.22
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
1.21×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
25.9%
25.9% of float short — crowded
ATRStatic
$1.87
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-01-06
in 40 sessions · session not on file
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file
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