Amphenol Corporation (APH) — $167.70 −0.87%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

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APH fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Aug 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 3.77M · Avg 9.30M
APHAmphenol Corporation$167.70-0.87%

WAIT.

The entry isn't here — the timing triggers haven't fired.

1 of 6 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 4. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
+3net
3 bull / 2 bear factors · leaning
Bull 5 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
1 of 6 aligned — not yet
Waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafeCautionHigh PCE sensitivity · 1.3× · n=38OKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$166.86
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$177–180
center $178.52 · basis · bb upper + high 52w · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$14.32
8.5% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
~83% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.3× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.40× · 3.77M vs 9.30M avg
52-week range$104.71 – $178.52
Below high since 2015-6.1% · $178.52 high
Risk / reward1 : 0.7
Plan stop$150.41
Max pain$60.00 far from the price — likely a stale options snapshot
RSI 1458.4 fires under 35 · fires near $136.05
Forensic flags2 review
What-if price
$167.70
$119.93 · -28.5%-28.5%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+8.5% · $182.02+8.5%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
58.4
fires under 35 · fires near $136.05
vs 50-day
$157.99
above the line · fires near $159.34
Bollinger
$142.71
no lower pierce · fires near $139.64
VWAP 20
$158.29
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $158.15
Entry level
$166.86
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$120.00
OI strike below · fires near $120.53
MACD
+1.54
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.40×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
1.5%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$7.74
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
28 Oct 2026
· in 78 days
Next dividend
USD 0.25
ex-date 2026-09-22
Appears in
prices 15-min delayed