Amprius Technologies, Inc. (AMPX) — $11.81 −0.34%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

AMPXpeers & supply-chain relationships

AMPX fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated not on fileVol 5.81M · Avg 8.57M
AMPXAmprius Technologies, Inc.$11.81-0.34%

SELL.

We're bearish on this stock — not a name to own here.

The net signal reads -3 — more evidence points down than up — and the 50-day average sits below the 200-day, 2 accounting red flags are raised in the filings. Buying a dip into that is catching a falling stock, not finding value; the read stands until the signal or the company's condition improves.

QTick signal
-3net
1 bull / 3 bear factors · leaning
Bull 1 pts·Bear 4 pts30d
Bearish tape — sell
We're bearish on this stock — the tape and the structure both say so.
Market contextSector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafePCE sensitivity · not on fileOKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$11.75
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$13.73
center $13.73 · basis · sma 200 + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$1.75
14.9% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
~95% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.2× base rate
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.68× · 5.81M vs 8.57M avg
52-week range$6.07 – $24.23
Below high since 2022-51.2% · $24.23 high
Risk / reward1 : 1.0
Plan stop$9.75
Max pain$13.00 options cluster
RSI 1453.0 fires under 35 · fires below the slider range
Forensic flags2 review
What-if price
$11.81
$9.45 · -20.0%-20.0%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+14.9% · $13.56+14.9%
Entry strategy · 10 triggersBearish tape — sell
RSI 14
53.0
fires under 35 · fires below the slider range
vs 50-day
$13.55
below the line
Bollinger
$8.47
no lower pierce · fires below the slider range
VWAP 20
$10.48
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $10.47
Entry level
$11.75
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$10.00
OI strike below · fires near $10.04
MACD
-0.06
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.68×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
20.1%
20.1% of float short — crowded
ATRStatic
$0.91
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
5 Nov 2026
· in 85 days
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file
prices 15-min delayed