Bloom Energy Corporation (BE) — $210.63 −3.97%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

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BE fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Aug 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 8.99M · Avg 14.23M
BEBloom Energy Corporation$210.63-3.97%

WAIT.

The entry isn't here — the timing triggers haven't fired.

2 of 6 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 4. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
+5net
2 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 6 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
2 of 6 aligned — not yet
Waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafeCautionHigh PCE sensitivity · 1.4× · n=38OKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$209.58
basis · s1 + sma 200 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$245–253
center $248.87 · basis · sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$33.76
16.0% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 16% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Pullback risk
In line
~78% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.2× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 16% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Volume vs 20-day avg0.63× · 8.99M vs 14.23M avg
52-week range$38.18 – $351.28
Below high since 2018-40.0% · $351.28 high
Risk / reward1 : 0.9
Plan stop$164.84
Max pain$200.00 options cluster
RSI 1445.7 fires under 35 · fires below the slider range
Forensic flags2 review
What-if price
$210.63
$159.28 · -24.4%-24.4%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+16.0% · $244.39+16.0%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers2 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
45.7
fires under 35 · fires below the slider range
vs 50-day
$251.93
below the line
Bollinger
$168.28
no lower pierce · fires near $160.24
VWAP 20
$205.11
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $204.85
Entry level
$209.58
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$197.50
OI strike below · fires near $198.43
MACD
+4.72
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.63×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
7.4%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$26.03
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
27 Oct 2026
· in 76 days
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file
prices 15-min delayed