Alto Ingredients, Inc. (ALTO) — Specialty Chemicals. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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ALTOpeers & supply-chain relationships

ALTO fair-value estimate

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Bid × AskUpdated Sep 18, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 3.18M · 3-mo avg 2.12M

Alto Ingredients, Inc. (ALTO)

ALTOAlto Ingredients, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
-1net
1 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 2 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market contextSector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · DistressPCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 9/100 · as of 2026-09-18
Smart entry
$3.98
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-18
Target exit zone
$4.13
center $4.13 · basis · daily pivot + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-18
Implied move · 1 wk
not on file
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 11% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Pullback risk
In line
1.07× the norm · 85% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (1/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 11% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Volume vs its own 20-session average2.24×
52-week range$0.92 – $6.11
Below high since 2015-70.9% · $13.77 high
Risk / reward0.38 : 1
Plan stop$3.66
Max pain
RSI 1442.9 fires under 35 · fires near $3.73
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple12.1× fwd · 6.0× trailing
P/E vs its own past76th pctile · 9.6× median
Price / booknot on file

Last session traded heavier than its own normal, price down 0.5%. Over the last 20 sessions, 57% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
42.9
fires under 35 · fires near $3.73
vs 50-day
$4.48
below the line
Bollinger
$3.85
no lower pierce · fires near $3.82
VWAP 20
$4.06
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$3.98
within 1% of model level
Put wall
not on file
MACD
Context
+0.03
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
2.24×
heavier than its own normal
Short int.Static
9.1%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.16
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
2026-11-04
in 33 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file
Alto Ingredients, Inc. (ALTO) Stock Price & Signals · QTick