Ecolab Inc. (ECL) — Specialty Chemicals. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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ECL fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 994.0K · 3-mo avg 1.39M

Ecolab Inc. (ECL)

ECLEcolab Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+2net
2 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 4 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafeFlatPCE inflation days · swings like the S&P 500OKNeutral tape · 19/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$277.39
basis · pivot low + s1 + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$306–308
center $306.79 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$9.20
3.3% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
Low
0.78× the norm · 52% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.84×
52-week range$243.15 – $309.27
Below high since 2015-9.6% · $309.27 high
Risk / reward2.24 : 1
Plan stop$267.30
Max pain$280.00 options cluster
RSI 1455.0 fires under 35 · fires near $264.12
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple29.5× fwd · 37.3× trailing
P/E vs its own past28th pctile · 40.7× median
Free cash flow yield2.4% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 1.5%. Over the last 20 sessions, 70% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
55.0
fires under 35 · fires near $264.12
vs 50-day
✓
$277.46
at the line
Bollinger
●
$267.81
no lower pierce · fires near $266.11
VWAP 20
●
$275.92
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $275.83
Entry level
✓
$277.39
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$260.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-24
MACD
Context●
-0.80
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.84×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
1.7%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$5.05
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-27
in 23 sessions
Next dividend
1.04% yld
no ex-date on file