Align Technology, Inc. (ALGN) — Medical Instruments & Supplies. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 829.6K · 3-mo avg 939.0K

Align Technology, Inc. (ALGN)

ALGNAlign Technology, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+5net
4 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 5 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—PCE inflation days · not on fileRiskFalling knife · 86/100 · was 59 on Sep 21 · as of 2026-09-251/6Bottom watch · 1 of 6 confirmations
Smart entry
$146.05
basis · s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$162–164
center $163.20 · basis · sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$9.14
6.2% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.01× the norm · 67% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: falling knife
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.90×
52-week range$123.02 – $200.44
Below high since 2015-81.1% · $775.39 high
Risk / reward1.67 : 1
Plan stop$136.95
Max pain$150.00 options cluster
RSI 1439.1 fires under 35 · fires near $143.08
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple11.7× fwd · 25.4× trailing
P/E vs its own past6th pctile · 36.4× median
Free cash flow yield4.7% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 0.8%. Over the last 20 sessions, 63% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
39.1
fires under 35 · fires near $143.08
vs 50-day
✓
$163.10
below the line
Bollinger
●
$143.10
no lower pierce · fires near $142.08
VWAP 20
✓
$152.20
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$146.05
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$136.00
2026-09-25 expiry · chain of 2026-09-23
MACD
Context✓
+0.12
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.90×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
5.8%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$4.55
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-28
in 23 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file