Alcon Inc. (ALC) — $73.63 0.00%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

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ALC fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Aug 11, 2026 · 12:12 PM ETVol 2.00M · Avg 2.15M
ALCAlcon Inc.$73.630.00%

WAIT.

The entry isn't here — the timing triggers haven't fired.

1 of 5 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 3. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
+1net
1 bull / 0 bear factors · balanced
Bull 2 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
1 of 5 aligned — not yet
Waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileBalance sheet · not on filePCE sensitivity · not on fileOKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$74.97
basis · pivot low + s1 + sma 200 · as of 2026-08-12
Target exit zone
$89.97
center $89.97 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-08-12
Implied move · 1 wk
not on file
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
~64% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.0× base rate
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.93× · 2.00M vs 2.15M avg
52-week range$61.84 – $90.41
Below high since 2019-25.5% · $101.10 high
Risk / reward1 : 7.1
Plan stop$71.33
Max pain
RSI 1469.9 fires under 35 · fires near $58.44
Forensic flags1 review
What-if price
$73.63
$58.15 · -21.0%-21.0%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+4.4% · $76.87+4.4%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers1 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
69.9
fires under 35 · fires near $58.44
vs 50-day
$67.94
above the line · fires near $68.50
Bollinger
$65.69
no lower pierce · fires near $65.21
VWAP 20
$70.03
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $69.95
Entry level
$74.97
below the model level
Put wall
not on file
MACD
+0.53
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.93×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
not on file
ATRStatic
$1.62
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
10 Nov 2026 · after the bell
amc · in 89 days
Next dividend
0.49% yld
no ex-date on file
prices 15-min delayed