Air Industries Group (AIRI) — $2.58 −1.90%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

AIRIpeers & supply-chain relationships

AIRI fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated not on fileVol 8.7K · Avg 41.3K
AIRIAir Industries Group$2.58-1.90%

SELL.

We're bearish on this stock — not a name to own here.

The net signal reads -4 — more evidence points down than up — and the 50-day average sits below the 200-day, the balance-sheet safety score sits in its distress band, 1 accounting red flag is raised in the filings. Buying a dip into that is catching a falling stock, not finding value; the read stands until the signal or the company's condition improves.

QTick signal
-4net
0 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 0 pts·Bear 4 pts30d
Bearish tape — sell
We're bearish on this stock — the tape and the structure both say so.
Market contextSector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · DistressPCE sensitivity · not on fileOKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
model abstained · segment micro
Target exit
model abstained · segment micro
Implied move · 1 wk
not on file
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
Low
~74% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 0.8× base rate
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.21× · 8.7K vs 41.3K avg
52-week range$2.55 – $3.95
Below high since 2015-97.6% · $108.77 high
Risk / reward
Plan stop
Max pain
RSI 1433.5 washed out
Forensic flags1 review
What-if price
$2.58
$2.43 · -6.0%-6.0%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+6.0% · $2.73+6.0%
Entry strategy · 10 triggersBearish tape — sell
RSI 14
33.5
washed out
vs 50-day
$2.87
below the line
Bollinger
$2.58
no lower pierce · fires near $2.58
VWAP 20
$2.68
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
not on file
Put wall
not on file
MACD
+0.01
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.21×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
3.3%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.08
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 4 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
not on file
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file
prices 15-min delayed