AAR Corp. (AIR) — Aerospace & Defense. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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AIRpeers & supply-chain relationships

AIR fair-value estimate

AIR earnings history

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Sep 18, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 106.9K · 3-mo avg 447.9K

AAR Corp. (AIR)

AIRAAR Corp.loading…
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QTick signal
+3net
1 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 3 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market contextSector read · not on fileBalance sheet · not on filePCE inflation days · not on fileRiskFalling knife · 82/100 · was 30 on Sep 13 · as of 2026-09-170/6Bottom watch · 0 of 6 confirmations
Smart entry
$111.08
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-17
Target exit zone
$114–116
center $115.19 · basis · daily pivot + round + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-17
Implied move · 1 wk
not on file
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 18% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Pullback risk
Elevated
1.12× the norm · 89% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: falling knife
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 18% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.29×
52-week range$74.25 – $154.00
Below high since 2015-27.2% · $154.00 high
Risk / reward0.33 : 1
Plan stop$98.54
Max pain
RSI 1430.7 washed out
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple17.5× fwd · 23.5× trailing
P/E vs its own past56th pctile · 30.0× median
Price / booknot on file

Last session traded in line with its own normal. Over the last 20 sessions, 61% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

5 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
30.7
washed out
vs 50-day
$134.78
below the line
Bollinger
$113.07
lower-band pierce
VWAP 20
$126.48
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$111.08
within 1% of model level
Put wall
not on file
MACD
Context
-1.35
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
1.29×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
3.9%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$4.97
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
2026-09-29
in 8 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file