Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc. (ACHC) — Medical Care Facilities. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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ACHCpeers & supply-chain relationships

ACHC fair-value estimate

ACHC earnings history

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 4.53M · 3-mo avg 1.72M

Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc. (ACHC)

ACHCAcadia Healthcare Company, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+3net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 5 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · Distress—Inflation-report days · not on fileCautionOverheated rally · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 6
$35.87
near a support level · Nov 6
$39–40
near a resistance level and the 52-week high · midpoint $39.38 · Nov 6
±$3.17
±8.6% up or down, priced by the options market
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
Elevated
88% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.1× the usual rate
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
Trading volume110% above normal2.10× its 20-day average
Past year's range$11.43 – $39.38lowest to highest price
From its peak59.0% belowpeak $90.16, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.45 to 1$0.45 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$31.69the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$30.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)76.3overbought
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit18.9× next yearloss over the last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastusual P/E 23.7×median of the last 5 years
Cash it generates-12.9%it used more cash than it made

Last session traded heavier than its own normal, price up 6.4%. Over the last 20 sessions, 37% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

0 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
76.3
overbought
vs 50-day
●
$29.40
above the line · fires near $29.50
Bollinger
●
$27.47
no lower pierce · fires below the slider range
VWAP 20
●
$31.97
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $31.94
Entry level
●
$35.87
level below · fires near $36.19
Put wall
●
$22.50
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-06
MACD
Context✓
+0.52
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
2.10×
heavier than its own normal
Short int.Static
24.6%
24.6% of float short — crowded
ATRStatic
$2.09
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-24
in 73 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file