Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc. (ACHC) — Medical Care Facilities. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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ACHCpeers & supply-chain relationships

ACHC fair-value estimate

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Bid × AskUpdated Sep 18, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 235.4K · 3-mo avg 2.59M

Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc. (ACHC)

ACHCAcadia Healthcare Company, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+2net
2 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 4 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market contextSector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · DistressPCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 0/100 · as of 2026-09-17
Smart entry
$28.67
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-17
Target exit zone
$30–31
center $30.24 · basis · bb upper + round + sma 50 · as of 2026-09-17
Implied move · 1 wk
±$3.99
13.9% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.07× the norm · 85% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (3/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.16×
52-week range$11.43 – $35.83
Below high since 2015-68.0% · $90.16 high
Risk / reward0.52 : 1
Plan stop$25.66
Max pain$30.00 options cluster
RSI 1450.2 fires under 35 · fires near $24.76
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple15.7× fwd · trailing n.m.
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Free cash flow yield-16.6% · burning cash

Last session traded in line with its own normal. Over the last 20 sessions, 45% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
50.2
fires under 35 · fires near $24.76
vs 50-day
$30.28
below the line
Bollinger
$26.58
no lower pierce · fires near $26.23
VWAP 20
$28.52
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $28.49
Entry level
$28.67
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$15.00
2026-09-18 expiry · chain of 2026-09-16
MACD
Context
+0.07
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
1.16×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
26.5%
26.5% of float short — crowded
ATRStatic
$1.28
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
2026-11-04
in 34 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file