Ermenegildo Zegna N.V. (ZGN) — Apparel Manufacturing. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

How we compute this

ZGNpeers & supply-chain relationships

ZGN fair-value estimate

ZGN earnings history

Qtick
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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 991.1K · 3-mo avg 1.19M

Ermenegildo Zegna N.V. (ZGN)

ZGNErmenegildo Zegna N.V.loading…
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QTick signal
+2net
1 bull / 0 bear factors · balanced
Bull 2 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · Grey—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 22/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$12.67
basis · pivot low + s1 + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$13–14
center $13.43 · basis · sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
—
not on file
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.08× the norm · 85% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (4/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.75×
52-week range$8.64 – $15.95
Below high since 2020-22.2% · $16.36 high
Risk / reward0.69 : 1
Plan stop$11.71
Max pain—
RSI 1450.8 fires under 35 · fires near $11.72
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple19.2× fwd · 33.9× trailing
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Free cash flow yield7.5% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 2.1%. Over the last 20 sessions, 56% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 5 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
50.8
fires under 35 · fires near $11.72
vs 50-day
✓
$13.49
below the line
Bollinger
●
$11.16
no lower pierce · fires near $10.93
VWAP 20
●
$12.32
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $12.31
Entry level
✓
$12.67
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-0.11
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.75×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
13.3%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.40
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-03-18
in 120 sessions
Next dividend
1.10% yld
no ex-date on file