Valmont Industries, Inc. (VMI) — Industrial Conglomerates. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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VMI fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 236.9K · 3-mo avg 190.1K

Valmont Industries, Inc. (VMI)

VMIValmont Industries, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+5net
3 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 5 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 3/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$464.50
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$470–475
center $472.61 · basis · daily pivot + round + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$20.82
4.5% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 3% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Pullback risk
Low
0.77× the norm · 61% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 3% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.29×
52-week range$372.00 – $585.71
Below high since 2015-20.3% · $585.71 high
Risk / reward0.24 : 1
Plan stop$442.68
Max pain$480.00 options cluster
RSI 1441.9 fires under 35 · fires near $455.51
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple18.0× fwd · 18.2× trailing
P/E vs its own past51st pctile · 27.1× median
Free cash flow yield3.5% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 0.5%. Over the last 20 sessions, 56% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
41.9
fires under 35 · fires near $455.51
vs 50-day
✓
$482.83
below the line
Bollinger
●
$461.35
no lower pierce · fires near $459.75
VWAP 20
✓
$472.51
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$464.50
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$440.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-25
MACD
Context✓
+0.08
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
1.29×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
2.4%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$10.91
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-20
in 17 sessions
Next dividend
0.66% yld
no ex-date on file