Vulcan Materials Company (VMC) — Building Materials. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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VMC fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 1.05M · 3-mo avg 1.17M

Vulcan Materials Company (VMC)

VMCVulcan Materials Companyloading…
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QTick signal
-2net
2 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 4 pts·Bear 6 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 6
$281.31
near a recent low, a support level, the 200-day average and a heavy put-option level · Nov 6
$327–332
near the 52-week high and a round-number price · midpoint $329.20 · Nov 6
±$17.08
±6.0% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
In line
82% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
Trading volume23% below normal0.77× its 20-day average
Past year's range$237.03 – $331.09lowest to highest price
From its peak14.6% belowpeak $331.09, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk2.29 to 1$2.29 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$262.42the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$260.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)61.2fires under 35 · fires near $229.72
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit28.0× next year33.5× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 16%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 36.9×
Cash it generates3.1%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 1.0%. Over the last 20 sessions, 34% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
61.2
fires under 35 · fires near $229.72
vs 50-day
●
$257.03
above the line · fires near $258.85
Bollinger
●
$236.00
no lower pierce · fires near $230.07
VWAP 20
●
$268.88
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $268.68
Entry level
✓
$281.31
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$340.00
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-06
MACD
Context✓
+2.40
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.77×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
3.3%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$9.44
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-16
in 67 sessions
Next dividend
USD 0.52
ex-date 2026-11-09