Under Armour, Inc. (UA) — Apparel Manufacturing. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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UA fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 3.33M · 3-mo avg 2.63M

Under Armour, Inc. (UA)

UAUnder Armour, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+1net
2 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 3 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · Grey—PCE inflation days · not on fileRiskFalling knife · 98/100 · was 91 on Sep 21 · as of 2026-09-250/6Bottom watch · 0 of 6 confirmations
Smart entry
$4.41
basis · s1 · as of 2026-09-24
Target exit zone
$5.60
center $5.60 · basis · sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-24
Implied move · 1 wk
±$0.41
9.4% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
Elevated
1.12× the norm · 89% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: falling knife
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.35×
52-week range$3.95 – $7.91
Below high since 2016-90.7% · $47.45 high
Risk / reward3.42 : 1
Plan stop$4.06
Max pain$5.00 options cluster
RSI 1427.1 oversold
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple11.5× fwd · trailing n.m.
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Free cash flow yield-8.6% · burning cash

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 1.4%. Over the last 20 sessions, 74% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

6 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
✓
27.1
oversold
vs 50-day
✓
$5.54
below the line
Bollinger
✓
$4.48
lower-band pierce
VWAP 20
✓
$4.84
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$4.41
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$5.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-25
MACD
Context●
-0.01
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
1.35×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
—
not on file
ATRStatic
$0.17
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-05
in 29 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file