Springer Nature AG & Co. KGaA (SPGNY) — Publishing. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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SPGNY fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 200 · 3-mo avg 176

Springer Nature AG & Co. KGaA (SPGNY)

SPGNYSpringer Nature AG & Co. KGaAloading…
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QTick signal
0net
0 bull / 0 bear factors · balanced
Bull 2 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 0/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$11.38
basis · pivot low · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$11.74
center $11.74 · basis · bb upper + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
—
not on file
Chart pattern
—
not on file
Pullback risk
Low
0.73× the norm · 58% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
—
not on file
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.00×
52-week range$10.17 – $13.87
Below high sincenot on file
Risk / reward0.48 : 1
Plan stop$10.81
Max pain—
RSI 1455.0 fires under 35 · fires near $11.06
Forensic flags0 clean
Earnings multiple6.1× trailing · forward not on file
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Free cash flow yield22.9% · of market value

Last session traded lighter than its own normal, price unchanged. Over the last 20 sessions, 19% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 5 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
55.0
fires under 35 · fires near $11.06
vs 50-day
●
$11.06
above the line · fires near $11.17
Bollinger
●
$11.19
no lower pierce · fires near $11.14
VWAP 20
✓
$11.76
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$11.38
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-0.03
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.00×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
—
not on file
ATRStatic
$0.19
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
—
not on file
Next dividend
4.20% yld
no ex-date on file