Semtech Corporation (SMTC) Fair Value
Fair value is a rough estimate of what a share is worth on its fundamentals, next to today’s price. Two estimates feed it — earnings at the company’s own multiple, and a cash-flow DCF on forecast free cash flow — and a single figure is shown when the two sit within 3x of each other, a range when they do not, one estimate when only one could be computed, and nothing when a name has no analyst coverage. A Graham-number floor and the analysts’ mean target sit beside it. The wider they disagree, the less any one figure should be trusted. It is an input to your own view, never a trigger.
One model estimate
$60.90(cash-flow DCF on forecast free cash flow)price $103.21Only one of the two estimates could be computed, so it is shown as one estimate, not as a fair value.
Street mean target $217.07 (16 analysts)
Estimates shown separately · Graham number reported as a floor only
Earnings at the company's own multiple
CyclicalNot on file: normalised earnings are not positive.
- Revenue CAGR
- +12.03%
Cash-flow DCF on forecast free cash flow
Free-cash-flow conversion 1.20, growth 40% fading to 2.5%, discount rate 15% (cost of capital)
- Revenue CAGR
- +12.03%
- Discount rate
- +15.00%
- Terminal growth
- +2.50%
Graham number (deep-value floor)
Not on file: positive earnings and book value are required.
- Revenue CAGR
- +12.03%
Consensus as of 2026-11-05.
Reverse DCF on forecast free cash flow
At today’s price, the market is implying roughly +42.09% annual growth in forecast free cash flow over the projection window. Higher than you find credible means the price already prices in a lot.
Fair value is not meaningful for banks or unprofitable companies, where the cash-flow model breaks down — those are marked unavailable rather than shown as a misleading figure. Every figure on this page is code-computed from public filings. QTick presents data-driven observations for self-directed research; nothing here is a recommendation or investment advice.