Sibanye Stillwater Limited (SBSW) — Other Precious Metals Mining. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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SBSWpeers & supply-chain relationships

SBSW fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Sep 17, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 5.30M · 3-mo avg 5.31M

Sibanye Stillwater Limited (SBSW)

SBSWSibanye Stillwater Limitedloading…
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QTick signal
0net
0 bull / 0 bear factors · balanced
Bull 2 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market contextSector read · not on fileBalance sheet · not on filePCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 0/100 · as of 2026-09-17
Smart entry
$11.99
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-17
Target exit zone
$12–13
center $12.49 · basis · daily pivot + round + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-17
Implied move · 1 wk
not on file
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure · price back above the 50-day — repair underway
Pullback risk
In line
1.21× the norm · 96% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (1/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure · price back above the 50-day — repair underway
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.97×
52-week range$7.87 – $21.29
Below high since 2015-43.4% · $21.29 high
Risk / reward0.35 : 1
Plan stop$10.79
Max pain
RSI 1453.6 fires under 35 · fires below the slider range
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple5.4× fwd · 9.7× trailing
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Free cash flow yield12.6% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 3.9%. Over the last 20 sessions, 51% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 5 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
53.6
fires under 35 · fires below the slider range
vs 50-day
$10.52
above the line · fires near $10.60
Bollinger
$11.41
no lower pierce · fires near $11.26
VWAP 20
$12.36
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$11.99
within 1% of model level
Put wall
not on file
MACD
Context
-0.19
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.97×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
0.3%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.60
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
not on file
Next dividend
6.72% yld
no ex-date on file
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