Deep dive · NasdaqGM: SATS
Strive, Inc. stock analysis
Everything behind the call on Strive, Inc. 6 sections, ordered the way risk stacks up: survival first, quality and price in the middle, context last. The Beacon gives you the read. This is where you check the work.
The five reads
Global tape
FrankfurtW1J—⏱
Where else this company trades. A closed venue shows its last close, marked ⏱ — not a live price.
The bottom linestart here
Valuation
-911.5× forward
Against consensus earnings
Dividend
15.71%
Forward annual yield at today's price
Risk flags
3 critical
5 checks run, 0 clear
worst drawdown -4%
New to this? Every metric carries a plain-English read beside it, and an ⓘ next to a label opens the definition. Anything unfamiliar is also defined at the foot of the page under Glossary.
NasdaqGM · USDAsset Management
$95.49-0.01 · -0.01%PRE · vol 216.9K
52-week range↑ 4% off low · ↓ 0.5% off high
$92.00now $95.49$96.00
Quote Nov 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ET
Tape 2026-11-10
Tape 2026-11-10
01Ratios · Jul 16, 2026SOLVENCY IN QUESTION
Survival & solvency
Altman-Z of -0.7 against a 3.0 safe threshold, and 0 of 5 forensic checks clear.
↳ Plain EnglishBefore anything else: can this company pay its bills? These blocks check the balance sheet, whether your slice of ownership is being diluted, and whether the accounting looks honest.
Bankruptcy risk (Altman-Z)
-0.70DISTRESS ZONE
Distress<1.8
Grey1.8–3.0
Safe>3.0
Profitability, leverage and liquidity combined into one number. Above 3.0 is the safe band.
Balance sheetJul 16, 2026
Piotroski F-scoreCRITICAL
F 2/7
Piotroski F-score 2 of 7. Nine pass/fail tests covering profitability, leverage and operating efficiency; seven or more is strong.
Solvency and liquidity ratios
Leverage · long-term debt / total assetsthe share of everything the company owns that long-term borrowing funds0.05
Your ownership stake
Buyback yieldGROSS
0.13%
Repurchases as a share of market value, before new issuance is netted off.
Stock-based comp / revenueIN LINE
0.2%
Stock comp is the dilution pressure a buyback has to outrun. We read up to 5% of revenue as modest and above 12% as heavy — our own reading band, not a measured peer statistic.
Diluted vs basic share gapTHIN OVERHANG
0.00%
Options and awards already granted, expressed as the gap between the diluted and basic counts.
Accounting forensicsSEC filings
Red-flag x-rayGRADE F
0 / 100
3 critical · 0 watch · 0 clear of 3 scored tests
Red-flag x-ray · every check, passes included
CheckStatusValueWhat it looks for
Bankruptcy distressCRITICALZ -0.70Altman-Z in the distress zone · fundamentals
Earnings manipulationNAn/aBeneish-M not applicable to this sector · fundamentals
LeverageNAn/aLong-term debt / equity not available · fundamentals
Profitability qualityCRITICALF 2/7Piotroski F-score 2 of 7 · fundamentals
Filing forensicsCRITICAL3 flags3 filing red flags on the latest 10-K · forensic
5 checks, 3 critical. The passes are shown because a score built from five checks means something different from one built from three.
02
Business quality
The quality blocks below render whatever the filings support; anything absent says so in place.
↳ Plain EnglishMargins tell you how much of each sales dollar the company keeps. Return on capital tells you whether reinvesting that money creates value. Both are read against what the filings support, not against a target.
P(beat next quarter)
61%COHORT BASE RATE
survivor-tilted universe (currently-listed names; large-cap-skewed coverage)
Profitability
Data unavailableNo parsed income statement is on file, so margins, returns on capital and cash generation cannot be computed for this name.
Growth & relative strength
Data unavailableNot enough price and filing history to compute growth or relative strength for this name.
Around earnings
Fell after a beatP(FELL | BEAT)
33%
A beat is not a plan: this share of them still closed lower on the day.
Rose after a missP(ROSE | MISS)
17%
The mirror of the line above, over its own denominator.
Typical earnings moveMEDIAN ABSOLUTE
±8.8%
Unsigned magnitudes from its own prints. Direction is not part of this read.
Reaction: beat vs missData unavailableThe beat-versus-miss reaction gap is not computed for this name — no earnings-surprise history on file to pair with the 12 measured reactions.
Consensus biasVALIDATED
Persistent
insufficient surprise history
Dividends & income
Data unavailableThis company does not pay a dividend. There is no yield, payout ratio or ex-dividend date to show, and the return case rests entirely on capital gains.
Signal
Not an income position.
No dividend is declared, so nothing here contributes to total return except the price. That is a fact about the security, not a criticism of it.
Inventory ledger
Data unavailableNo inventory detail is tagged in this company's filings. The ledger needs the XBRL inventory components, which a business without physical goods does not report.
Segments & geography
Data unavailableRevenue by segment and region is not on file for this name, so product and geographic concentration are not shown.
Pattern reliability · platform-wide cohortSnapshot · Nov 9, 2026
Downtrend · leans bearish
HorizonHigherMedianObservations
10d47%0.0%1,308,676
21d47%0.0%613,759
63d47%-0.9%195,225
slope -0.34 over 40 bars
Marubozu · leans bullish
HorizonHigherMedianObservations
10d43%-0.2%161,462
10d51%+0.1%166,990
21d44%-0.3%75,673
21d51%+0.2%78,201
63d47%-0.3%23,819
63d51%+0.3%24,388
full-body, no shadows
Inverse head and shoulders · leans bullish
HorizonHigherMedianObservations
10d48%0.0%509,606
21d49%0.0%239,810
63d50%+0.1%76,130
low below two ≈-equal shoulders — bullish reversal
Symmetrical triangle
HorizonHigherMedianObservations
10d46%-0.3%311,898
21d46%-0.7%147,151
63d46%-1.9%46,551
converging highs & lows — breakout pending
Bollinger squeeze
HorizonHigherMedianObservations
10d43%0.0%799,756
21d44%0.0%375,743
63d47%0.0%116,642
bands at a multi-month tight — breakout pending
03-911.5× FORWARD
Price & timing
Price $95.49, -911.5× forward earnings, RSI 56.
↳ Plain EnglishA multiple is what the market charges for a dollar of this company's earnings, cash or revenue; the trend and the options tape say what the price is doing around it. Together they are the timing picture, not the quality one.
Momentum (RSI-14)
56WARM
030 oversold70 hot100
Where momentum sits on a 0–100 scale. Above 70 is overbought, below 30 oversold; the middle says the move has room either way.
The setup right now
Price · 504 sessions2024-07-25 → 2026-11-10
price50-day200-day
How to read this
Down 0.01% on the session.
Follow the solid line: each point is a session close. Compare it to the 50-day average — while price stays above it the short-term trend is up, and a drop below is the first structural warning.
Typical day (ATR-14)±1.7%
$1.60
The average true range — how far this stock moves on an ordinary day. It sets the scale a stop has to clear.
MACDBELOW SIGNAL
-0.82
The short-term trend against its own signal line. The sign is the read; the size is not a target.
Chandelier exitLONG INTACT
$90.71
A volatility-based trailing stop, set a few average ranges below the recent high.
Pivots (classic)R1 $96 · S1 $95
$95.25
The last settled session's range projected forward. Reference levels, not predictions — after a big gap they can sit on the wrong side of the price until the next close.
DeMark countdownUP SETUP
4 of 9
Counts consecutive closes against the prior trend. A completed 9 often marks exhaustion.
2026-11-13 · in 2 daysProducer Prices (PPI)A scheduled macro release. It moves this stock independently of anything the company does.
Setup & oddsNightly
Direction oddsnext 12m
47 / 53cohort n=3,618
A lean, not a forecast. These are the cohort's odds — comparable names over the window — not this stock's own history.
Pullback riskoverstretch read
In line1.00× segment rate · n=46,172
Historically, large names in this tape state saw a ≥10% pullback within 63 trading days in 66% of cases (n=46,172).
Signal
The odds lean, the stretch qualifies it.
Historically, names tripping 2 validated red flags finished lower 12 months later in 52% of cases (n=3,618) — a survivor-biased floor, not a forecast.
Valuation
Multiples
Forward P/EAnalysts expect a loss over the next twelve months, so there are no earnings for the price to be a multiple of.Not meaningful
None of these ratios has a positive denominator, so none of them prices this company. 1 is marked not meaningful because the figure it divides into is negative — shown as absent rather than as a low, cheap-looking number. Each priced multiple is read against this stock's own history where a five-year range is on file, so the question is whether today is dear for this name rather than for the market. The multiples are computed separately from the quote above and are not re-priced as it moves, so they can lag it.
Price horizon & timing
Data unavailableThere is not enough price history to compute a 50-day average, which is the line every level here is measured against. This unlocks once the name has traded long enough for one.
Gamma map
Data unavailableThis name has no listed options chain, so there is no dealer gamma to map. Regime, flip level, walls and the implied move all need a chain to exist.
Options tape
Data unavailableNo options chain is connected for this ticker. Max pain, the put/call ratio, the implied move and the open-interest ladder all need the chain feed.
0413F quarterly · Form 4 dailyNET SIGNAL +1
Ownership & flow
Institutions hold 0%, short interest is 29.99% of float.
↳ Plain EnglishWho is buying and selling, and what they had to disclose. Institutions file 13F 45 days after quarter end, executives file Form 4 within two days, and Congress discloses under the STOCK Act with a 30–45 day legal lag. Every one of those is a look backwards.
Net signal
+1BALANCED · 30d
1 bull / 0 bear factors. The points sum to the net beside the label; nothing here is weighted after the fact.
The QTick signalNightly
Earnings4 QUARTERS · TIMING
+1
latest EPS beat by 9%
Signal
1 bull / 0 bear factors
Independent factors scored and netted to +1 over 30d, a balanced reading. 1 of 9 factors carried a direction; the others scored zero and do not vote. The signal describes where the data leans, not what to do about it.
Cross-category read
Data unavailableFewer independent evidence families are ready than the engine's minimum, so there is nothing to check for agreement. A cross-category read over two categories is not a read.
Wall Street
Data unavailableNo sell-side firm publishes research on this name. There is no consensus rating, no price target and no estimate revisions to weigh — for a company this size that is the norm rather than a gap in our data.
Who owns it13F quarterly · Form 4 daily
Institutional ownershipRETAIL-HEAVY
0.1%
The share held by 13F filers. It describes last quarter's positioning, not today's — filings land up to 45 days after quarter end.
Insider ownershipOFFICERS & DIRECTORS
0.0%
The share held by the people running the company.
Short interest (float)CROWDED
29.99%
The share of the tradable float sold short.
Free float86% OF SHARES
136.94M
Shares actually available to trade, excluding insider and restricted holdings.
Dollar volume (ADV)77th PCTILE
$38.48M/day
Average dollars traded per day, and where that ranks cross-sectionally. Thin liquidity is a cost you pay on the way out, not just on the way in.
Borrow feeData unavailableWe do not license securities-lending data, so the annualized cost of borrowing shares to short is not something we can show. Short interest and days-to-cover above are the closest read we can source.
The story · news & sentimentRolling window
Why it moved todayNONE
-0.01%
SATS was little changed −0.01% since the last close — no notable catalyst, and the move itself was modest.
CongressSTOCK Act · 30–45d lag
Signal
Net selling.
1 of 3 disclosures are buys and 2 are sales. Lawmakers disclose on a 30–45 day legal lag, so this describes what was done weeks ago, not what is being done now.
0518 graded calls
Risk & track record
a -4% worst drawdown, and 1 of 8 risk surfaces clear.
↳ Plain EnglishWhat owning it does to a portfolio, what the model votes against, and how often our own calls have been right. Every call is graded when it resolves, and the ones still open stay visible.
Max drawdown
-3.6%WORST FALL
The deepest peak-to-trough fall in the measured window. Only hold a position you can watch do this.
What it does to a portfolio5-year window
What votes against
Data unavailableNo factor in the model currently votes against this name. That is a statement about the model's inputs today, not a claim that nothing could go wrong.
Failure modes · by company type
Data unavailableFailure modes are routed per company type, and only the bank-run and crypto-treasury rulebooks are validated so far. This name routes as unknown, so there is no cohort-specific checklist to run. A generic list would read as analysis without being any.
The risk case · why not to buy8 surfaces · nightly
Avoid score6-month distress
0.2%0.1× its cohort · financials
Observational 6-month large-drawdown risk ranking — not a forecast, not alpha. Historical distress rate for this financials segment: 3.0%. This name reads 0.1× that base rate.
LowDistress screenThe distress model did not score this name in the latest run, so this surface is unmeasured rather than clear.Not scored
LowPosition sizeThe sizing model has not covered this name, so no defensible cap is published for it.Not scored
LowLottery-ticket behaviourNot scored for this name.Not scored
LowCash runwayNot scored for this name.Not scored
LowPost-earnings driftNo measured earnings reaction on file, so the drift surface is unmeasured.Not scored
LowDividend riskNot scored for this name.Not scored
HighRestatement history1 restatement in 2 years. The flagged-company base rate is 6.2× the unflagged one.Integrity
LowCrowded shortNot in a warn state: the crowded-short model only publishes when short interest and thin liquidity coincide, and neither condition is met here.Not scored
Signal
1 of 8 surfaces clear.
8 surfaces checked, 1 clear. Each row states which surface it is and what it measured; a surface that could not be scored says so rather than counting as clear.
Who should skip it
Data unavailableNone of the skip conditions can be evaluated for this name yet — they each need a measured drawdown, beta, yield or scheduled report to key off.
Our track record18 resolved
Track recordBUILDING IN THE OPEN
34 logged
34 calls logged on this name, 18 resolved so far. Calls are logged the moment they are made, so the open ones are public before anyone knows how they turn out, and a hit-rate is not published until enough of them resolve.
0610-K disclosed linksASSET MANAGEMENT
The wider context
5 mapped peers, 2 connections.
↳ Plain EnglishCompanies do not trade alone. This is the peer set, the supply chain that has to deliver, and the macro variables that move the stock regardless of company news.
Rate sensitivity
-0.6% per +1ppSECTOR
This is the SECTOR prior, not a measurement of this name — the regression did not clear its own bar. The verdict beside it (tailwind) comes from the prior too, so the two agree by construction rather than by evidence.
Versus peersLatest session
Peer set · 5 names
SymbolRelationshipPriceSession
BLKPeer$1,222.15+0.61%
BXPeer$122.53-1.23%
BNPeer$42.39-1.35%
KKRPeer$100.85+2.81%
BAMPeer$53.49-1.27%
The mapped peer set and how each traded in the latest session. A peer moving with this name says the move is the sector's; one moving against it says the move is this company's.
Time machineHistory from 2023-06-01
Signal
2 of 4 backward windows are positive.
Look-back returns describe what happened, not what is likely. They are here to set the scale a future move would be measured on.
Macro driversRolling window
Inflation (CPI) reactionn=36
1.18×
On these days it moves about 1.2× the market, regardless of company news.
Jobs report reactionn=38
1.24×
On these days it moves about 1.2× the market, regardless of company news.
Fed decision (FOMC) reactionn=38
0.68×
On these days it moves about 0.7× the market, regardless of company news.
Inflation (PCE) reactionn=38
0.90×
On these days it moves about 0.9× the market, regardless of company news.
Next macro catalystIN 2 DAYS
Producer Prices (PPI)
2026-11-13. A scheduled release that moves this stock independently of anything the company does.
Events · what moves this stockNov 11, 2026
Initial jobless claimsUsually hurts when more people file for benefits than expected
More missed loan payments and less borrowing; lower rates also thin banks' margins.
Typical for the Financial Services sector
On the day +0.5% · A week later +2.2% · Two weeks later +4.1% · Rose on 89 of 154 report days
Across the last 154 Initial jobless claims reports since Jun 8, 2023, SATS moved +0.5% on average on the day and was 4.1% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved 0.0% on those days.
Housing starts is due in 7 days.
Housing startsUsually helps when more homes are started than expectedMore mortgages get written.
Typical for the Financial Services sector
On the day -0.8% · A week later +3.9% · Two weeks later +2.1% · Rose on 17 of 36 report days
Across the last 36 Housing starts reports since Jun 20, 2023, SATS moved -0.8% on average on the day and was 2.1% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved 0.0% on those days.
Industrial productionUsually helps when factory output comes in stronger than expected
Businesses borrow more when they are growing.
Typical for the Financial Services sector
On the day +1.2% · A week later +0.2% · Two weeks later +4.3% · Rose on 16 of 36 report days
Across the last 36 Industrial production reports since Jun 15, 2023, SATS moved +1.2% on average on the day and was 4.3% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved +0.1% on those days.
Retail sales is due in 6 days.
Retail salesUsually helps when shoppers spend more than expectedMore card swipes and consumer borrowing when spending is strong.
Typical for the Financial Services sector
On the day +1.2% · A week later +0.2% · Two weeks later +4.3% · Rose on 16 of 36 report days
Across the last 36 Retail sales reports since Jun 15, 2023, SATS moved +1.2% on average on the day and was 4.3% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved +0.1% on those days.
Consumer sentiment (UMich) is due in 9 days.
Consumer sentiment (UMich)Usually helps when consumers feel better than expectedConfident consumers borrow more.
Typical for the Financial Services sector
On the day +1.9% · A week later +4.2% · Two weeks later +7.3% · Rose on 21 of 35 report days
Across the last 35 Consumer sentiment (UMich) reports since Jun 26, 2023, SATS moved +1.9% on average on the day and was 7.3% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved +0.1% on those days.
Job openings (JOLTS)Usually helps when job openings come in higher than expected
Employed people repay loans and borrow more; banks benefit.
Typical for the Financial Services sector
On the day +0.3% · A week later +3.3% · Two weeks later +4.6% · Rose on 16 of 35 report days
Across the last 35 Job openings (JOLTS) reports since Jul 5, 2023, SATS moved +0.3% on average on the day and was 4.6% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved 0.0% on those days.
Jobs report (nonfarm payrolls)Usually helps when hiring comes in stronger than expected
Employed people repay loans and borrow more; banks benefit.
Typical for the Financial Services sector
On the day +0.7% · A week later +2.4% · Two weeks later +4.6% · Rose on 20 of 35 report days
Across the last 35 Jobs report (nonfarm payrolls) reports since Jul 6, 2023, SATS moved +0.7% on average on the day and was 4.6% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved -0.1% on those days.
Unemployment rateUsually hurts when unemployment rises more than expected
More missed loan payments and less borrowing; lower rates also thin banks' margins.
Typical for the Financial Services sector
On the day +0.8% · A week later +2.6% · Two weeks later +4.9% · Rose on 20 of 34 report days
Across the last 34 Unemployment rate reports since Jul 6, 2023, SATS moved +0.8% on average on the day and was 4.9% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved -0.1% on those days.
Customer momentum
Data unavailableCustomer momentum needs listed customers that disclose a revenue dependence on this company, and none is on file. The connections below are a different map: competitors and partners, most of them curated rather than filed.
Connections2 links · none confirmed
Direct connections · 2 edges
CompanyRelationSessionProvenance
BOEING · Suppliersuppliernot pricedRumored · manual
MAXAR · Suppliersuppliernot pricedRumored · manual
0 of 2 edges are named in a filing; the rest come from reporting we have not matched to one yet, and are labelled as such.
Suppliers, customers & competitors
What it depends on
BOEINGSuppliersupplier
MAXARSuppliersupplier
Glossary · every term on this page
Survival
Altman Z
Bankruptcy-risk score. Above 3.0 is the safe band.
Piotroski F
Nine pass/fail health tests; 7 or more is strong.
Beneish M
Accrual and growth pattern screen. Clear below −2.22, watch to −1.78, elevated above; a year of very fast revenue growth lifts it by construction.
Merton DTD
Standard deviations of asset value between the company and its debt.
EDF
Default frequency calibrated on what actually happened to similar names.
Price & tape
RSI-14
Momentum gauge 0–100. Above 70 is overbought, below 30 oversold.
ATR
Average true range — the size of a typical day.
VWAP
20-day volume-weighted average price — the average paid over the last month; the page shows no intraday VWAP.
Supertrend
A trend-following stop line. A close through it flips the read.
Chandelier
A trailing stop set a few average ranges below the recent high.
Options & flow
Gamma / GEX
Dealer hedging pressure. Negative gamma amplifies moves both ways.
Call / put wall
The strikes with the heaviest open interest; they act as ceiling and floor.
Max pain
The strike where most options expire worthless.
13F · Form 4
Institutional filings, 45 days after quarter end. Insider trades, within two days.
Scoring
Composite signal
Independent factors scored and netted into one number.
Hit-rate
Share of past calls that resolved in the direction stated.
Brier score
Calibration measure. Lower means stated probabilities track reality.
HHI
Concentration 0–10,000. Above 2,500 means one segment carries the company.
EVT
Fits the tail rather than assuming a bell curve, so bad days are not understated.