Ryan Specialty Holdings, Inc. (RYAN) — Insurance Brokers. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 1.74M · 3-mo avg 2.08M

Ryan Specialty Holdings, Inc. (RYAN)

RYANRyan Specialty Holdings, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+7net
4 bull / 0 bear factors · moderate
Bull 7 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 64/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$37.70
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$40–41
center $40.24 · basis · round + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$2.77
7.3% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 9% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Pullback risk
In line
1.08× the norm · 85% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 9% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.81×
52-week range$29.28 – $59.19
Below high since 2021-50.9% · $77.16 high
Risk / reward0.66 : 1
Plan stop$34.34
Max pain$40.00 options cluster
RSI 1439.9 fires under 35 · fires near $37.00
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple51.0× trailing · forward not on file
P/E vs its own past0th pctile · 179.0× median
Price / book7.11×

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 3.1%. Over the last 20 sessions, 59% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
39.9
fires under 35 · fires near $37.00
vs 50-day
✓
$41.75
below the line
Bollinger
●
$36.07
no lower pierce · fires near $35.57
VWAP 20
✓
$39.79
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$37.70
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$30.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-24
MACD
Context●
-0.21
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.81×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
10.5%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.68
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-29
in 25 sessions
Next dividend
1.37% yld
no ex-date on file