Market context—Sector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · Grey—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKFinding a bottom · 5/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$155.40
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$173–176
center $174.28 · basis · sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$10.67
6.8% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.21× the norm · 80% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: bottoming · capped: at bottom zone (4/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.92×
52-week range$127.96 – $247.80
Below high since 2015-37.0% · $247.80 high
Risk / reward1.25 : 1
Plan stop$141.67
Max pain$155.00 options cluster
RSI 1444.4 fires under 35 · fires near $149.47
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple12.0× fwd · 32.1× trailing
P/E vs its own past41st pctile · 38.5× median
Free cash flow yield8.6% · of market value
Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 3.4%. Over the last 20 sessions, 55% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.
Entry strategy · 10 triggers
2 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
Momentum gauge, 0–100. A low reading describes losses dominating recent gains; it does not predict a reversal. Recomputed at the what-if price from the served daily tape.
RSI 14
●
44.4
fires under 35 · fires near $149.47
vs 50-day
The average close across 50 sessions. Trading at or below it describes price location versus the recent trend; it is not evidence that buyers will defend the line.
vs 50-day
✓
$174.62
below the line
Bollinger
A 20-session volatility envelope. A lower-band pierce describes an unusually low price relative to that recent distribution; it does not guarantee mean reversion. The band re-forms around the what-if price.
Bollinger
●
$145.78
no lower pierce · fires near $143.85
VWAP 20
A 20-session rolling VWAP approximated from daily typical price and volume, not an intraday session anchor. Being below it is a price-location descriptor, not a forecast.
VWAP 20
●
$155.69
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $155.63
Entry level
The entry reference published by the audited level composer from the stock's support zone. It is a model level, not an instruction or guaranteed floor.
Entry level
✓
$155.40
within 1% of model level
Put wall
The strike with the largest put open interest in the stored chain snapshot. It is an options-positioning reference, not verified price support.
Put wall
●
$140.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-25
MACD
Momentum-shift gauge shown as context, not part of the alignment rule. Recomputed at the what-if price when the served daily tape is usable.
MACD
Context✓
+1.25
histogram above zero · rising
RVol
That session's volume against this name's own average over the last 20 sessions. Above about 1.5x is unusually active for this name and below about 0.7x unusually quiet; heavy volume says a lot of shares changed hands, never which way the next move goes. A hypothetical price cannot create volume, so this tile holds steady as the slider moves.
RVolStatic
0.92×
in line with its own normal
Short int.
Shares sold short as a percentage of float. The 20% threshold is a crowding descriptor, not a forecast of a squeeze. This value updates on the reporting cadence.
Short int.Static
5.1%
short interest below 20%
ATR
Average true range describes the stock's recent daily price range. It is informational and does not enter the alignment count.
ATRStatic
$5.74
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.