Peloton Interactive, Inc. (PTON) — Leisure & Recreation. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

How we compute this

PTONpeers & supply-chain relationships

PTON fair-value estimate

PTON earnings history

Qtick
Sign in
Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 2:10 PM ETVol 6.70M · 3-mo avg 8.64M

Peloton Interactive, Inc. (PTON)

PTONPeloton Interactive, Inc.loading…
loading…
QTick signal
-3net
2 bull / 3 bear factors · leaning
Bull 3 pts·Bear 6 pts30d
loading…
Market context—Sector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · Distress—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 62/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$4.90
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$5.42
center $5.42 · basis · bb upper + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$0.37
7.5% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 11% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Pullback risk
In line
1.08× the norm · 85% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 11% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.72×
52-week range$3.65 – $9.20
Below high since 2019-97.3% · $181.67 high
Risk / reward1.30 : 1
Plan stop$4.54
Max pain$5.00 options cluster
RSI 1441.8 fires under 35 · fires near $4.75
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple21.2× fwd · 34.8× trailing
P/E vs its own past3rd pctile · 103.7× median
Free cash flow yield15.1% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 2.7%. Over the last 20 sessions, 48% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

Bearish tape — sell
RSI 14
●
41.8
fires under 35 · fires near $4.75
vs 50-day
✓
$5.55
below the line
Bollinger
●
$4.63
no lower pierce · fires near $4.56
VWAP 20
✓
$5.05
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$4.90
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$5.00
2026-09-25 expiry · chain of 2026-09-23
MACD
Context✓
+0.01
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.72×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
15.1%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.18
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-05
in 29 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file